MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF COVID-19 TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS AND CONTROL STRATEGIES.

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Published: Oct 21, 2020
DOI: https://doi.org/10.26483/ijarcs.v11i5.6637
Keywords:
Modeling, COVID-19, Basic reproduction number, Sensitivity analysis, Simulation.

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JUMANNE M MNG'ANG'A
LOCAL GOVERNMENT TRAINING INSTITUTE

Abstract

In this paper, we present a mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission dynamics and control strategies. The result reveal that the disease free equilibrium point exists and it is locally and globally asymptotically stable when the reproduction number is less than one unit  and otherwise unstable when is greater than one unit. Simulation and discussions of a different variable of the model has been performed and we have compute sensitivity index of each parameter through sensitivity analysis of different embedded parameters. MATLAB of ode45 was employed perform numerical simulation analysis and the results show that there is importance of isolating infectious individual in an epidemic disease within the population.

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Vol. 11 No. 5 (2020): September-October 2020
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