DEVELOPMENT OF A SARIMA MODEL TO FORECAST TUBERCULOSIS DETECTION RATE IN THE DIBRUGARH DISTRICT OF ASSAM, INDIA
Main Article Content
Abstract
Downloads
Article Details
COPYRIGHT
Submission of a manuscript implies: that the work described has not been published before, that it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere; that if and when the manuscript is accepted for publication, the authors agree to automatic transfer of the copyright to the publisher.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work
- The journal allows the author(s) to retain publishing rights without restrictions.
- The journal allows the author(s) to hold the copyright without restrictions.
References
Akaike H. (1974): “A New Look at the Statistical Model Identificationâ€, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, Vol. 19, Issue: 6, pp.716-723.
Azeez A., Obaromi D., Odeyemi A., Nedge J. and Muntabayi R. (2016): “Seasonality and Trend Forecasting of Tuberculosis Prevalence Data in Eastern Cape, South Africa, using a Hybrid Modelâ€, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol.13, pp.2-12.
Cao S., Wang F., Tam W., Tsc L.A., Kim J. H., Liu J. and Lu Z. (2013): “A Hybrid Seasonal Prediction Model for Tuberculosis Incidence in Chinaâ€, BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, doi:10.118611472-6974-13-56.
Chowdhuri R., Mukherjee A., Naska S., Adhikary M. and Lahiri S. K. (2013): “Seasonality of Tuberculosis in Rural West Bengal: A Time Series Analysisâ€, International Journal of Health and allied Sciences, Vol2, Issue:2, pp.95-98.
Ricardo Gimeno R., Manchado B. Minguez R. (2009): “Stationarity tests for Financial Time Seriesâ€, Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, Vol. 269, Issue: 1 pp. 72-78.
Kumar V., Singh A., Adhikary M., Daral S., Khokhar A. and Singh S. (2014): “Seasonality of Tuberculosis in Delhi, India: A Time Series Analysisâ€, Tuberculosis Treatment and Research.
Lienhardt C, Rowley J, Manneh K, Lahai G, Needham D, Milligan P. (2001): “Factors affecting time delay to treatment in a tuberculosis control program in a sub-Saharan African country: the experience of the Gambiaâ€, International Journal Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Vol.5, No.3, pp.233-2399.
Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (2015): “TB India 2015, Revised National TB Control Programme: Annual Status Report†Indian Medical Association for Central TB Division, Directorate General of Health Services, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare.
Moosazadeh M., Khanjani N., Nasehi M., Bahrampour A. (2015): “Predicting the Incidence of Smear Positive Tuberculosis Cases in Iran using Time Series Analysisâ€, Iran Journal of Public Health, Vol.44, No.11, pp.1526-1534.
Muniyandi M, Ramchandran R, Balasubramanian R, Narayanan PR (2006): “Socio-economic dimensions of tuberculosis control: Review of studies over two decades from Tuberculosis Research Centreâ€, The Journal of Communicable Disease, Vol. 39, No.3, pp.204-15.
Narula P., Sihota P., Azad S. and Lio P. (2015): “Analyzing Seasonality of Tuberculosis across Indian States and Union Territoriesâ€, Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health, Vol.5, Issue 4, pp.337-346.
Rajeswari R, Balasubramanian R, Muniyandi M, Geetharamani S, Thresa X, Venkatesan P. (1999): “Socio-economic impact of tuberculosis on patients and family in India†International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Vol.3, Issue:10, pp.869–77.
Rieder H. L. (1999): “Epidemiologic Basis of Tuberculosis Controlâ€, 1st ed. International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Paris, France 1999. pp.50–52
Wah W., Das S., Earnest A, Lim L.K.Y., Che C. B., Cook A. R., Wang Y. T., Win K. M. K., Ong M. E. H. and Hsu L. Y. (2014): “Time Series Analysis of Demographic and Temporal Trends of Tuberculosis in Singapore, BMC Public Health, doi:10.118611471-2458-14-1121.
World Health Organization (2016): “Global Tuberculosis Report 2016â€, Geneva, Switzerland, ISBN : 9789241565394
Zheng Y. L., Zhang L. P., Zhang X. L., Wang K., Zheng Y. J. (2015): “Forecast Model Analysis for the Morbidity of Tuberculosis in Xinjang, Chinaâ€, PLoS ONE, Vo. 10, No. 3, doi:10.13711/journal.pone.0116832.